XRP’s higher-timeframe construction is approaching a uncommon technical milestone on the month-to-month chart. The cryptocurrency is still on an extended pullback from its 2025 highs above $3 and is now buying and selling round $1.38. If the present value motion trajectory holds into month-end, XRP may shut February with the fifth straight crimson month-to-month candle.
Such streaks are unusual for XRP, and so they have at all times come before major turning points. Now that March is approaching, the query is whether or not XRP is about to increase its shedding run or lastly break the sample with a reversal.
Uncommon 5-Month Slide On The Month-to-month Chart
The month-to-month XRP/USD chart exhibits a transparent sequence of crimson candles stretching from late 2025 into early 2026. Every candle has closed under its open, forming a gradual downward staircase from above $3.00 to the present vary between $1.30 and $1.40.
Curiously, that is a part of an prolonged run of value corrections since XRP reached an all-time excessive of $3.65 in July 2025. Since this all-time excessive, XRP has solely created one inexperienced month-to-month candlestick, which was in September 2025.
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XRP opened February round $1.64. If February closes under this value stage, it might mark 5 consecutive month-to-month declines. The final time XRP’s value motion had 5 consecutive crimson months was in early 2017, a interval that in the end preceded certainly one of XRP’s strongest bull phases. The one different time earlier than then was when it printed six straight crimson month-to-month candles in 2014.
That historical context is what makes the present setup notable. Lengthy shedding streaks on the month-to-month timeframe are in the end going to lead to a slowdown in selling pressure, significantly since XRP is now above a notable structural help zone. On the time of writing, this structural help zone is the $1.20 area, the place XRP bulls managed to cease additional promoting strain in early February.
XRP Monthly Price Chart. Source: @Bird_XRPL On X
Is March Extra Probably To Flip Inexperienced?
Now that February is about to finish, the following outlook is how XRP performs in March. In accordance to a crypto analyst known as Fowl on X, based mostly on earlier value motion, we’re nearer to a inexperienced month than one other crimson one. Due to this fact, there’s a excessive chance that XRP closes March with a inexperienced candlestick.
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Nonetheless, prolonged crimson runs don’t robotically translate into explosive upside strikes. Some market members are speculating about a God candle that would erase the previous 5 months of losses in a single month. Nonetheless, the broader market construction at this time is totally different from earlier cycles. XRP’s market capitalization is considerably bigger than it was in earlier bull runs, and rallies would require extra capital inflows.
From a chance standpoint, XRP’s restoration may very well be rather more regular over time, not by way of an instantaneous parabolic surge. That might possible contain reclaiming intermediate resistance zones first, together with the $1.60, $2.00, and $2.50 ranges, earlier than a push above $2.80 and $3.00.
Featured picture created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
