XRP is on observe to shut its fifth consecutive month in destructive territory, a uncommon stretch of sustained losses that has not been seen since late 2016. Regardless of holding at round $1.30, the token has declined almost 30% in February alone, in keeping with CoinGecko data, extending a broader five-month decline of roughly 50%.
XRP Flashes Pre-Bull Run Sample
The final time XRP recorded 5 straight purple month-to-month candles was between October 2016 and February 2017. Throughout that interval, the value slipped from $0.00885 to $0.00557, a decline of 37%, earlier than discovering a backside close to $0.0055 in March 2017. By Might 2017, XRP had surged to $0.3988 — a achieve of seven,000% in simply two months.
After consolidating by way of the summer time, the token climbed once more, finally reaching $3.31 in January 2018. From its March 2017 low, that marked a 60,000% improve.
Associated Studying
With XRP now following the same path, market analyst Sam Daodu examined the comparability in a brand new report launched on Monday.
Daodu famous that the present setup “rhymes” with the 2016–2017 construction: 5 consecutive months of declines, tightening worth motion, and indicators that promoting stress could also be exhausting itself. Nonetheless, he cautioned that the market setting has modified dramatically since XRP was “a micro‑cap token.
In 2017, XRP’s whole market worth was lower than $300 million. Daodu identified that at that degree, even a number of hundred million {dollars} in new capital may increase the value by 1000’s of proportion factors.
Right this moment, XRP has a market capitalization of about $88 billion. In accordance with the analyst, this scale makes a 60,000% surge just about unimaginable beneath any life like market circumstances.
250% Rally Nonetheless In Play
A comparable rally would suggest a transfer to roughly $852 per token. With roughly 58 billion XRP in circulation, that will translate to a market capitalization exceeding $49 trillion — greater than the mixed worth of all stocks listed on the New York Inventory Trade.
Nonetheless, Daodu argues that whereas a repeat of the 2017 explosion is off the desk, a significant restoration stays inside attain if the bottoming sample holds.
A return to XRP’s July 2025 excessive of $3.65 would symbolize a achieve of about 157% from present ranges. A transfer towards $5 — close to the higher vary of analyst forecasts for 2026 — would quantity to a 252% improve.
Associated Studying
Much more conservative projections counsel room for upside. Customary Chartered just lately diminished its XRP goal by 65%, citing close to‑time period headwinds, however its revised forecast of $2.80 would nonetheless suggest a roughly 97% rise from present buying and selling costs.
The important thing distinction on this cycle, in keeping with Daodu, lies within the supply of demand. The explosive rally of 2017 was largely pushed by retail hypothesis.
In distinction, any substantial positive factors this time would probably depend upon institutional flows, together with potential exchange‑traded fund (ETF) inflows, broader institutional adoption, and a restoration throughout the broader crypto market.
Whereas one other 60,000% run is unrealistic, Daodu believes a 150% to 250% advance is achievable if momentum shifts and capital returns to the sector.
Featured picture from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com
