In response to standard crypto analyst ‘CRYPTO₿IRB,’ the bull market will finish in 50 days, which places the height round late October. He famous that the “cycle peak countdown” says that Bitcoin is 95% finished, “as we bleed in typical Q3 shakeout.”
The prediction has been derived from earlier bull market peaks and the variety of days after the Bitcoin halving and the earlier cycle low.
It’s 1,017 days for the reason that November 2022 low, and prior bull market peaks have been between 1,060 and 1,100 days from their cycle lows. “That locations the goal in late Oct. to mid-Nov. 2025.”
Bull run ends in 50 days.
Cycle Peak Countdown says BTC is 95% finished (1,017 days in) as we bleed in typical Q3 shakeout.
Use this alpha playbook and retire wealthy.
(Thread) pic.twitter.com/rtCwKyJJec
— CRYPTO₿IRB (@crypto_birb) September 4, 2025
Is This Cycle Completely different?
The analyst added that the halving in April 2024 was 503 days in the past, and historic peaks have come between 518 and 580 days post-halving.
“We’re 77% to 86% by means of that window. Mainly, getting into the new zone,” he stated.
After Bitcoin peaks, it always drops between 70% and 80% over 370 to 410 days, making a 2026 bear market a 100% historic chance.
The 2021 bull market, for instance, noticed Bitcoin retrace 24% in September earlier than greater than doubling within the two months that adopted to an all-time excessive in November. Costs then collapsed quick, with the asset dropping 72% within the first half of the next 12 months.
“Traditionally, Bitcoin finds a low in September of the post-halving 12 months, after which bounces off of it into the market cycle high that happens in This fall,” confirmed ITC Crypto founder Benjamin Cowen.
Different analysts have seemed on the fundamentals, suggesting that this market cycle could be very totally different as a result of it’s being pushed by institutional adoption, corresponding to ETFs and company treasuries, moderately than retail FOMO, and there’s a pro-crypto authorities in america. Each of those have been lacking over the last bull market.
Moreover, liquidity is about to enhance if the Federal Reserve cuts charges in two weeks, as it would turn into cheaper to borrow.
BTC Value Outlook
Bitcoin has been consolidating between $107,500 and $112,500 for a few weeks now. It has printed decrease lows, however help is holding in the intervening time. A September correction much like earlier bull market years might ship it again beneath six figures.
BTC was $112,200 on the time of writing because it recovered from a dip beneath $109,500 on Thursday. Nevertheless, the chop is prone to proceed all through the weekend as markets appear proof against constructive information developments for the time being.
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