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Unbiased market technician EGRAG CRYPTO posted an up to date weekly XRP/USD chart on X. The visible, constructed on Bitfinex information, frames the whole post-July 2024 advance by XRP because the flag-pole of a basic bull-flag continuation sample and argues that the following ten-week drift has traced out a near-textbook, downward-slanted consolidation channel whose higher and decrease rails are highlighted in magenta.
XRP Poised For Breakout
“The success price of breaking upwards is round 67–70 p.c,” the analyst writes, citing bulk pattern-recognition research that underpin the set-up’s statistical edge. XRP is buying and selling close to $2.30, a price marked on the chart by a blue dotted horizontal line intersecting the physique of the flag.
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Beneath that, a white line at $1.50 information the late-2024 breakout shelf that now features as first higher-time-frame help, whereas a deeper pink horizontal at roughly $0.60 flags the bottom from which the present cycle started. Threading up via the whole construction is a rising yellow transferring common—visually in keeping with the 20-week EMA (at present at $2.21)—underscoring what Egrag calls the market’s “still-positive long-term development bias.”
From that basis the technician derives three measured-move goals. “For long-term breakouts I want logarithmic charts, particularly in crypto, due to its exponential development over quick intervals,” he defined. On that foundation a log-scale projection extrapolates the total top of the flag-pole and lands at $18.00. A linear projection, which treats every greenback of advance equally, prints a markedly decrease $5.50. Taking what he describes as a “liquidity-adjusted common — my most popular methodology for crypto targets,” Egrag settles on $11.75.
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As a result of digital-asset order books stay comparatively skinny, the analyst overlays a variability band of fifteen to twenty p.c, stretching the log goal to roughly $20.70–$21.60, the typical to $13.51–$14.10 and the linear to $6.33–$6.60. “I often apply a 15–20 p.c variability as a result of crypto liquidity remains to be smaller in comparison with legacy markets, so targets can prolong each methods,” he cautioned.
A disclaimer printed immediately on the graphic reiterates that the numbers and targets are “for simulation functions solely and never monetary recommendation.” Even so, the roadmap is obvious for Egrag: as long as XRP defends the mid-flag zone close to $2.30 and, critically, the structural pivot at $1.50, the technician contends that an eventual breakout might vault the token into double-digit territory, with the headline log goal sitting simply beneath the psychologically resonant $20 deal with.
At press time, XRP traded at $2.28, nonetheless hovering slightly below the higher trendline of the bull flag. An in depth above the resistance might speed up the XRP value rapidly in direction of the 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci retracement ranges at $2.50 and $2.71 respectively.
Featured picture created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
