If historical past is to repeat now, XRP might transcend $3.00.
Ripple’s cross-border token grew to become some of the risky property within the cryptocurrency area after the 2024 presidential elections within the US, going from $0.60 to over $3.60 inside lower than a yr, earlier than it crashed to $1.11 earlier this month.
Following this 70% decline from July 2025 to February 2026, the token has seen its “largest on-chain realized loss spike since 2022,” mentioned Santiment. Nonetheless, this could possibly be a blessing in disguise for token holders.
The analyst from the analytics firm noted that the final time such huge realized losses have been recorded, of -$1.93 billion, the underlying asset exploded by 114% within the following eight months. If such a spectacular value enhance is to repeat now, it will put XRP’s valuation at over $3.00.
“Important realized losses occur when a lot of traders promote their cash at a value decrease than what they initially paid. This often coincides with concern taking on. When merchants panic and capitulate, they lock of their losses as a substitute of holding and hoping for a rebound,” defined the corporate.
Nonetheless, the analysts added that whereas this may really feel damaging within the short-term, it may be an necessary value sign for the longer run.
If the so-called weak arms have already offered, fewer sellers are left to push the asset decrease. Or, as Santiment put it: “a wave of heavy realized loss can imply that a lot of the harm has already been performed.”
Moreover, the evaluation reads that such giant will increase in realized losses happen close to market bottoms as a result of “excessive concern tends to peak earlier than value does.”
“As soon as sellers are exhausted, even a small quantity of latest shopping for stress can push costs larger. That doesn’t assure a direct rally, however it will increase the chance of a bounce. “
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