Bitcoin begins September underneath stress after a brutal August shut — now all eyes are on $100K. Bitcoin closed the month of August with a disappointing week for the bulls. After making a brand new all-time excessive in mid-August at simply over $124,000, bitcoin has put in three crimson candle closes in a row on the weekly chart. This previous week’s candle closed down close to the lows, swinging momentum clearly over to the bears.
The MACD oscillator confirmed a bearish cross on the weekly shut as nicely, which ought to assist keep downward stress getting into this week. RSI is now sitting in a comparatively impartial place simply above the 50 line, however at its lowest stage since mid-April.
This primary week of September will see bitcoin heading down to check the help ranges from the Might-to-June value consolidation. Bulls shall be in search of the high-volume node round $104,000-105,000 to carry value, and ideally stop this week’s candle from closing beneath that stage. Bears shall be making an attempt to push the worth down via this help again to the important thing 1.618 Fibonacci extension stage from the 2022 bear market at $102,000. Closing this week within the $102k neighborhood or decrease can be very unhealthy for the bulls, as it might threaten to interrupt beneath the notorious laser eyes stage of $100,000 and check the final main swing low at $98,000.
Taking out $100,000 to the draw back would give loads of weight to the “long-term high is in” thesis. $96,000 is principally the final line of protection right here for the bulls if value manages to slide via all these higher help ranges.
So heading into this week, search for consumers to attempt to step in and switch issues round on the $105,000 stage. Bulls shall be trying to proper the ship this week and put in some form of reversal candle to show issues round. However for now, the bears are in full management and can look to proceed the promoting stress into September.
Terminology Information:
Bulls/Bullish: Consumers or buyers anticipating the worth to go greater.
Bears/Bearish: Sellers or buyers anticipating the worth to go decrease.
Help or help stage: A stage at which value ought to maintain for the asset,no less than initially. The extra touches on help, the weaker it will get and the extra probably it’s to fail to carry the worth.
Resistance or resistance stage: Reverse of help. The extent which is more likely to reject the worth, no less than initially. The extra touches at resistance, the weaker it will get and the extra probably it’s to fail to carry again the worth.
Fibonacci Retracements and Extensions: Ratios based mostly on what is named the golden ratio, a common ratio pertaining to development and decay cycles in nature. The golden ratio relies on the constants Phi (1.618) and phi (0.618).
Oscillators: Technical indicators that adjust over time, however sometimes stay inside a band between set ranges. Thus, they oscillate between a low stage (sometimes representing oversold circumstances) and a excessive stage (sometimes representing overbought circumstances). E.G. Relative Power Index (RSI) and Transferring Common Convergence-Divergence (MACD).
MACD Oscillator: Transferring Common Convergence-Divergence is a momentum oscillator that subtracts the distinction between 2 transferring averages to point development in addition to momentum.
RSI Oscillator: The Relative Power Index is a momentum oscillator that strikes between 0 and 100. It measures the pace of the worth and modifications within the pace of the worth actions. When RSI is over 70, it’s thought-about to be overbought. When RSI is beneath 30, it’s thought-about to be oversold.
